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dc.contributor.authorBerman, Matthew
dc.contributor.authorDeVelice, Robert
dc.contributor.authorHollingsworth, Teresa Nettleton
dc.contributor.authorBella, Elizabeth
dc.contributor.authorCarlson, Matthew L.
dc.contributor.authorClark, Paul
dc.contributor.authorBarrett, Tara
dc.contributor.authorHayward, Gregory D.
dc.contributor.authorLundquist, John
dc.contributor.authorMagness, Dawn Robin
dc.contributor.authorSchwoerer, Tobias
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-07T20:57:19Z
dc.date.available2021-05-07T20:57:19Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11122/11953
dc.description.abstractThis assessment evaluates the effects of future climate change on a select set of ecological systems and ecosystem services in Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula and Chugach National Forest regions. The focus of the assessment was established during a multi-agency/organization workshop that established the goal to conduct a rigorous evaluation of a limited range of topics rather than produce a broad overview. The report explores the potential consequences of climate change for: (a) snowpack, glaciers, and winter recreation; (b) coastal landscapes and associated environments, (c) vegetation, (d) salmon, and (e) a select set of wildlife species. During the next half century, directional change associated with warming temperatures and increased precipitation will result in dramatic reductions in snow cover at low elevations, continued retreat of glaciers, substantial changes in the hydrologic regime for an estimated 8.5 percent of watersheds, and potentially an increase in the abundance of pink salmon. In contrast to some portions of the Earth, apparent sealevel rise is likely to be low for much of the assessment region owing to interactions between tectonic processes and sea conditions. Shrubs and forests are projected to continue moving to higher elevations, reducing the extent of alpine tundra and potentially further affecting snow levels. Opportunities for alternative forms of outdoor recreation and subsistence activities that include sled-dog mushing, hiking, hunting, and travel using across-snow vehicles will change as snowpack levels, frozen soils, and vegetation change over time. There was a projected 66-percent increase in the estimated value of human structures (e.g. homes, businesses) that are at risk to fire in the next half century on the Kenai Peninsula, and a potential expansion of invasive plants, particularly along roads, trails, and waterways.en_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherU.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Stationen_US
dc.sourceClimate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Chugach National Forest and the Kenai Peninsulaen_US
dc.subjectarctic communitiesen_US
dc.subjectvegetationen_US
dc.subjectkenai peninsulaen_US
dc.subjectchugachen_US
dc.subjectclimate changeen_US
dc.subjectsalmonen_US
dc.subjectglacieren_US
dc.subjectwildlifeen_US
dc.subjectseascapesen_US
dc.subjectsnowen_US
dc.subjectscenariosen_US
dc.subjectadaptive capacityen_US
dc.titleChapter 6: Vegetationen_US
dc.typeBook chapteren_US
refterms.dateFOA2021-05-07T20:57:20Z


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