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An Analysis of Proposed Exclusive Registration Areas and Pot Limits in the Alaska Tanner Crab Fishery
Gunnar Knapp and Al Didier
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Gulf of Alaska Economic and Demographic Systems Analysis
Gunnar Knapp, Will Nebesky, Teresa Hull, Karen White, Brian Reeder, and Judy Zimicki
This report examines possible impacts of the Gulf of Alaska lease offering, scheduled for October of 1984, upon the population and economics of five communities in southcentral Alaska: Homer, Kenai, Kodiak, Seward, and Yakutat. For each community we provide descriptions of current populations and employment. We then use the Rural Alaska Model ("RAM" model) to project a number of economic and demographic variables for these five communities with and without development of the proposed lease sale area. These projections are sensitive to the numerous assumptions required by the model. In the base case, we project relatively low rates of growth in resident population for Kenai and Kodiak (less than 1.2 percent annually over the period 1981-2010); we project a moderate growth rate for Yakutat (1.9 percent annually over the period , with most growth occurring before 1990); and we project high rates of growth for Homer and Seward (2.3 percent and 3.6 percent) due to increased tourism, fish processing, and shipbuilding. We project relativity minor impacts from development in the lease sale area upon population and employment in Homer, Kenai, Kodiak, and Seward (generally less than 10 percent at maximum). In contrast, we project more substantial relative impacts upon population and employment in Yakutat (up to 46 percent and 82 percent, respectively). Although absolute impacts are similar in Yakutat to those in the other communities, relative impacts are greater because Yakutat is much smaller.
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Worksplace Adaptations Connected to Native Employment in the North
Theodore Lane and Cheryl K. Thomas
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Patterns of Control in Rural Alaska Education
Gerald A. McBeath, Judith Kleinfield, G. Williamson McDiarmid, E. Dean Coon, and Carl. E. Shepro
A 3-year study of decentralization of Alaska schools identified several factors that influenced whether a school, was locally controlled and found patterns of control associated, in important ways with staff and community attitudes toward school. Information was gathered by surveys and interviews conducted in 28 communities randomly selected to represent all rural Alaska schools. Analysis of patterns of control showed 24% of rural Alaska schools with regionalized control, 40% with localized control, and 36% with "mixed" control. Field studies suggested that the attitudes and values of district superintendents were a major factor in decentralization. Localization of control was also dependent on a stable local administrator with positive attitudes toward the community, stable local school boards that represented community interests, and district policy specifying areas of. local authority in school governance. Measures of school climate and satisfaction with school showed significant differences .among the three types of control. Administrators and teachers of regionalized schools were somewhat more proud of student academic achievement and learning than those of localized schools. Parents and community adults were particularly ,satisfied with Native culture and language programs at localized schools. Administrators and teachers at mixed control schools were significantly more likely to have negative expectations of students' ability and achievement than those in any other type of school. (JHZ)
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A Regional Interactive Model of a Frontier Economy: Anchorage and the State of Alaska
Oliver Scott Goldsmith, Matthew D. Berman, and Lee Husky
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The Economic Impacts of Capital Construction Expenditures in Alaska
Oliver Scott Goldsmith and Phillip Rowe
This analysis present "rules of thumb" for estimating the economic impacts of $1 of spending on different types of capital projects in Alaska. It demonstrates that the economic impact varies by project type. The magnitude of economic impact is determined primarily by two factors which determine how much of each dollar spent leaks out of the economy. The first is the proportion of value added (mostly wages and salaries and profits) earned by nonresidents. The second is the proportion of sales to the construction industry which could be made by Alaskan firms but which is, in fact, made by firms outside the state.
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Alaska Statewide Housing Needs Study - Executive Summary
Henry C. Hightower, Cheryl K. Thomas, and Lee Gorsuch
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Man-In-The-Arctic Program (MAP) Economic Modeling System Technical Documentation Report
Teresa Hull, Lee Husky, Gunnar Knapp, Brian Reeder, and Karen White
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